Ceasefire & peace talks: iran
One event, one record — every framing of this event across news coverage and the crowd’s pricing resolves to this one key, so nothing fragments. Tracked since 2026-05-24; last seen 2026-09-02.
This event publishes a maintained truth record — /api/truth/ceasefire-peace-iran (also via the get_truth_object MCP tool). Layer clocks are stated per layer there; the “last seen” above is this card’s coverage-and-pricing clock.
904
news items our join has matched to this event family — the list below shows recent reporting, not the full set.
15
Distinct framings the crowd is pricing right now — near-duplicate strike/deadline variants collapse into the 2 shown below.
2
Time windows tracked — most active: 2026.
| Area | Mentions |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 395 |
| September 2026 | 14 |
In the coverage
Recent reporting behind this event, with the original source behind every headline.
- US probes Iran wedding strike that analysis shows was likely direct hit by US munition · Al-Monitor — Middle East · 2026-09-04
- US probes Iran wedding strike likely caused by American munition · Daily Sabah economy · 2026-09-04
- Save the Children aid for 1.5 million in need wiped out by Iran war oil shock · The Guardian · 2026-09-04
- Maximum pressure on Iran, round two · ECFR · 2026-09-04
- JD Vance Says He Wouldn’t Call Iran Conflict a War · NYT > Top Stories · 2026-09-04
- Iran war live: US rules out Iran talks until ship attacks stop · Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera · 2026-09-04
- Brent Nears $96 as Iran Conflict Keeps Oil Market on Edge · Oil Price · 2026-09-04
- Yields rise, oil jumps; US and Iran resume military attacks · Reuters · 2026-09-03
- Why Pakistan Is Shrugging Off Trump’s Latest Iran Sanctions · The Diplomat · 2026-09-03
- Why China will not comply with US sanctions on Iran · Al Jazeera · 2026-09-03
- Vance: US probing airstrike that Iran says hit a wedding party · Al-Monitor · 2026-09-03
- Vance: US investigating strike on Iran wedding 'very fully' · Middle East Eye Turkey · 2026-09-03
What the crowd is asking
Live question framings from public prediction markets — one sensor we cite for where consensus sits, never advice on which way to lean.
The crowd’s questions are cited as a public consensus sensor; mention counts are our own coverage record. Informational only — not advice. As of 2026-09-04 · live snapshot.