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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

OpenAI

The AI lab behind ChatGPT and the GPT model family.

Coverage of OpenAI is rising : 81 signals on the latest tracked day, up 119% from its three-week baseline of 37, across 21 domains (down from 24 a week ago). That makes it the #19 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

If OpenAI matters to your work, coverage is climbing off its baseline — worth a closer-than-usual look this week.

What’s changed

6 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

Across 1,429 tracked stories from 257 outlets, reporting on OpenAI most often describes launches or releases (82), public statements (65), acquisition (39), military action (29), IPOs or listings (24), funding rounds (12).

It shows up alongside Anthropic (681), AI (985 — acquisition ×3), Gemini (177), Prediction Market Context (177), Llms (152), Google (309), AI Model (126), Nvidia (233).

Two steps out: China (through AI, 555 shared stories on the weaker link); Abstract (through AI, 545 shared stories on the weaker link); Computer Science (through AI, 505 shared stories on the weaker link); View Pdf Html (through AI, 440 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 3, with coverage on 150 separate days — concentrated in AI Investing.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?” rose 14 points between Aug 3 and Sep 4, from 72% to 86%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 21 – Sep 4, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 4, 6:57 PM PT