What’s happening, as one record each.
Signal Bureau resolves every framing of the same event — a headline, a brief, a crowd question — into one record, the same way it resolves every alias of a name into one entity. These are the events it is tracking now, with honest coverage counts. As of 2026-09-04 · live snapshot.
The standing watches
Curated event · 4,757 matched mentions · 76 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-04
Curated event · 1,858 matched mentions · last seen 2026-09-03
Diplomacy · 1,189 matched mentions · 43 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-03
Curated event · 1,529 matched mentions · 5 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-22
Election · 578 matched mentions · 10 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-31
Election · 342 matched mentions · 23 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-03
Curated event · 610 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-13
Curated event · 118 matched mentions · 21 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-04
Curated event · 187 matched mentions · 28 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-03
Curated event · 853 matched mentions · last seen 2026-09-01
Rate decision · 46 matched mentions · 33 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-03
Curated event · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-22
Economic indicator · 2 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-16
Auto-tracked events
Surfaced mechanically from news coverage — ranked by how much the world is covering them, not by market volume.
Disaster · 875 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Product launch · 319 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Disaster · 753 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-29
Rate decision · 7 matched mentions · last seen 2026-08-24
Funding round · 20 matched mentions · 18 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Election · 110 matched mentions · 14 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-25
Election · 143 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-25
Election · 143 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-25
Election · 39 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-03
Ceasefire & peace talks · 904 matched mentions · 15 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-02
Election · 185 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-23
Economic indicator · 204 matched mentions · 24 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-31
What the crowd is pricing
Surfaced from prediction-market pricing — price ladders and market clusters the crowd is actively pricing. We cite these as a consensus sensor, not events we’ve independently reported.
Curated event · 317 matched mentions · 23 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-03
Election · 137 matched mentions · 25 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-02
Product launch · 26 matched mentions · 20 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-04
Funding round · 37 matched mentions · 19 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Election · 193 matched mentions · 17 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-02
Election · 457 matched mentions · 14 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Funding round · 9 matched mentions · 14 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Price threshold · 239 matched mentions · 14 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-01
Election · 45 matched mentions · 13 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-02
Election · 55 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-26
Election · 48 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-03
Election · 436 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-02
Election · 46 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-08-24
Election · 12 crowd questions · last seen 2026-09-03
Dormant records
The crowd hasn’t priced these in over two weeks. The records stay — one event, one record, continuously maintained — but we won’t call them live when they aren’t. Each card shows when it was last priced.
Product launch · 377 matched mentions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-20
Rate decision · 489 matched mentions · 25 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-11
Election · 168 matched mentions · 13 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-17
Election · 174 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-09
Election · 59 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-15
Election · 141 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-14
Election · 156 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-07
Election · 114 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-09
Election · 181 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-10
Election · 85 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-12
Election · 108 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-10
Election · 102 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-12
Election · 39 matched mentions · 16 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-10
Election · 104 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-26
Election · 125 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-10
Election · 375 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-09
Election · 114 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-07
Election · 152 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-11
Election · 134 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-12
Election · 101 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-06
Election · 101 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-12
Election · 212 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-19
Election · 75 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-09
Election · 108 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-12
Election · 131 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-05
Funding round · 319 matched mentions · 11 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-03
Product launch · 493 matched mentions · 22 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-18
Product launch · 509 matched mentions · 17 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-18
Election · 225 matched mentions · 14 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-20
Economic indicator · 10 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-12
Economic indicator · 351 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-22
Economic indicator · 560 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-23
Economic indicator · 390 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-18
Election · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-15
Election · 48 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-15
Election · 1 matched mention · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-26
Election · 11 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-12
Election · 55 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-23
Election · 101 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-07-22
Election · 49 matched mentions · 12 crowd questions · dormant — last priced 2026-08-02
Crowd questions are cited as a public consensus sensor. Informational only — not advice.