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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

China

The world's most populous great power and second-largest economy; a central actor in trade, technology, and security.

Coverage of China is fading : 110 signals on the latest tracked day, up 20% from its three-week baseline of 92, across 42 domains (down from 50 a week ago). That makes it the #10 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

If China matters to your work, attention is draining away — the pace of news no longer demands a daily check.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 2,175 tracked stories from 333 outlets, reporting on China most often describes disaster (118), public statements (101), launches or releases (88), meetings or visits (83), sanctions or trade (75), military action (54).

It shows up alongside AI (555 — meetings or visits ×5, acquisition ×2), Nvidia (174), Russia (349 — meetings or visits ×4), Iran (343 — sanctions or trade ×15, meetings or visits ×3), United States (292), Trump (290 — sanctions or trade ×16, meetings or visits ×7), India (266 — meetings or visits ×3), Immigration (230).

Two steps out: Anthropic (through AI, 555 shared stories on the weaker link); OpenAI (through AI, 555 shared stories on the weaker link); Abstract (through AI, 545 shared stories on the weaker link); Computer Science (through AI, 505 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 5, with coverage on 105 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?” held at 7% between Jul 21 and Sep 4.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 21 – Sep 4, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 4, 6:58 PM PT