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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Meta

The company behind Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp; a major investor in AI and virtual-reality hardware.

Coverage of Meta is holding steady : 21 signals on the latest tracked day, up 75% from its three-week baseline of 12, across 13 domains (down from 22 a week ago). That makes it the #132 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

Meta is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 12 signals a day across 13 domains (46 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 15+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 13. That is the move that would push it up the Wire.

What’s changed

6 of the last 7 tracked days ran above the three-week baseline — a sustained move, not a one-day spike.

What the reporting says

It shows up alongside AI (427), China (156), Microsoft (150), Nvidia (149), Google (218), OpenAI (211), AMD (84), Anthropic (146).

Two steps out: Abstract (through AI, 427 shared stories on the weaker link); Computer Science (through AI, 427 shared stories on the weaker link); View Pdf Html (through AI, 427 shared stories on the weaker link); Citations Loading Bibliographic (through AI, 402 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 11, with coverage on 63 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?” rose 16 points between Jul 25 and Sep 4, from 30% to 46%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 21 – Sep 4, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 4, 6:57 PM PT