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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Tariffs

Taxes a government charges on imported goods, used to protect domestic industry or as trade leverage.

Coverage of Tariffs is fading : 36 signals on the latest tracked day, up 20% from its three-week baseline of 30, across 17 domains (down from 23 a week ago). That makes it the #69 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

If Tariffs matters to your work, attention is draining away — the pace of news no longer demands a daily check.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 634 tracked stories from 166 outlets, reporting on Tariffs most often describes sanctions or trade (228), public statements (24), meetings or visits (19), rate decisions (15), launches or releases (12), economic releases (9).

It shows up alongside China (148 — sanctions or trade ×23), Trump (258 — sanctions or trade ×60), AI (104), Canadian (219 — sanctions or trade ×93), Inflation (78 — sanctions or trade ×2), United States (128), President Donald Trump (98), Immigration (97 — sanctions or trade ×3).

Two steps out: Congress (through Trump, 258 shared stories on the weaker link); Hormuz (through Trump, 258 shared stories on the weaker link); Iran (through Trump, 258 shared stories on the weaker link); Israel (through Trump, 258 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Mar 25, with coverage on 55 separate days — concentrated in Auto.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?” fell 3 points between Aug 24 and Sep 4, from 55% to 52%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 21 – Sep 4, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 4, 6:57 PM PT