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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

US Iran

A topic on our watch list — we track its coverage across 7 domains, including Central Bank Digital Currency, Chinese Overcapacity and Energy.

Coverage of US Iran is holding steady : 9 signals on the latest tracked day, up 200% from its three-week baseline of 3, across 7 domains (up from 3 a week ago). That makes it the #320 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

US Iran is steady by its own history. Its normal rhythm is about 3 signals a day across 7 domains (6 tracked days). A real move would be a day at 4+ signals — 25% above that baseline, the bar our trend read calls accelerating — or a spread into domains beyond its usual 7. That is the move that would push it up the Wire. It sits on our Geopolitics Desk.

What’s changed

What the reporting says

Across 125 tracked stories from 44 outlets, reporting on US Iran most often describes public statements (20), military action (20), meetings or visits (13), economic releases (9), price levels (3), rate decisions (2).

It shows up alongside Iran (125 — meetings or visits ×6), Oil (59), Hormuz (54), Inflation (21), Crypto (19), Pakistan (18), Trump (37), Middle East (33).

Two steps out: China (through Iran, 125 shared stories on the weaker link); Israel (through Iran, 125 shared stories on the weaker link); President Donald Trump (through Iran, 125 shared stories on the weaker link); Russia (through Iran, 125 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 8, with coverage on 29 separate days — concentrated in Prediction Markets and Auto.

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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Aug 30 – Sep 4, 6 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 4, 8:24 PM PT