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Signal Bureau What’s happening · what the record shows

Climate

The long-term pattern of global temperatures and weather; shorthand for climate change and the policy response to it.

Coverage of Climate is fading : 20 signals on the latest tracked day, down 62% from its three-week baseline of 52, across 13 domains (unchanged from a week ago). That makes it the #143 most-covered of the 348 concerns we track.

If Climate matters to your work, attention is draining away — the pace of news no longer demands a daily check.

What’s changed

6 of the last 7 tracked days ran below the three-week baseline — a sustained cooling, not a one-day dip.

What the reporting says

Across 836 tracked stories from 224 outlets, reporting on Climate most often describes disaster (53), public statements (32), launches or releases (17), military action (15), meetings or visits (15), acquisition (6).

It shows up alongside AI (114), China (93), European Union (90), United States (86), Africa (83), Earth (78), Oil (76), Renewable Energy (74).

Two steps out: Abstract (through AI, 114 shared stories on the weaker link); Anthropic (through AI, 114 shared stories on the weaker link); Citations Loading Bibliographic (through AI, 114 shared stories on the weaker link); Computer Science (through AI, 114 shared stories on the weaker link).

Tracked since Apr 25, with coverage on 42 separate days.

What the crowd is pricing

The odds the crowd puts on “Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?” fell 14 points between Aug 20 and Sep 1, from 24% to 10%.

Coverage momentum and market odds are separate readings — one can move without the other. A price is what the crowd believes, shown as a signal, not a forecast of ours.
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Counts computed from our committed signal record (Jul 21 – Sep 4, 46 tracked days). Informational only — not financial, legal, or investment advice. Prediction-market prices are shown as a signal of what the crowd believes. Terms · Privacy · page rendered Sep 4, 8:20 PM PT