{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"russia-ukraine-war","title":"The Russia–Ukraine war record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"russia","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"russia\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Russia–Ukraine war\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: putin, trump, zelenskyy — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them.","candidatesConsidered":["donbas","putin","russia","trump","ukraine","zelenskyy"],"alsoDefensible":["ukraine","donbas"],"rejected":["putin","trump","zelenskyy"],"actionClass":null},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-04","generatedAt":"2026-09-04T23:47:27.001318+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/russia-ukraine-war and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/russia-ukraine-war so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"russia\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 15 attributable rows sampled for \"russia\", 4 served, 11 withheld as not shown to be about \"Russia–Ukraine war\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":15,"served":4,"withheldNotEventRelevant":11,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["ukraine","war","diplomacy","arms","crimea","donbas","donetsk","invasion","kharkiv","kremlin","kyiv","putin","ceasefire","forces","aid","front","peace","defense","ukrainian","zaporizhzhia","zelensky"],"questionSet":["president","agreement","trump","together","referendum","passed","meet"]},"items":[{"title":"Türkiye pushes new Russia-Ukraine Black Sea grain deal","url":"https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/diplomacy/turkiye-pushes-new-russia-ukraine-black-sea-grain-deal","date":"2026-09-01","source":"Daily Sabah economy","eventTerms":["ukraine","ukrainian"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Russia is running out of cash due to its war in Ukraine: report","url":"https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2026/08/28/russia-is-running-out-of-cash-due-to-its-war-in-ukraine-report/","date":"2026-08-28","source":"Defense News","eventTerms":["ukraine","war","ukrainian"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"outlet","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Russia to close German cultural centers amid deepening tensions with Europe over supporting Ukraine - AP News","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxPWE9yNnJUV1ROS1J3Q3ppSlQ2elJRSDI0Yk5PQXBYbnI5SXlJS2tiREdEQl9zTFRUMDFqUEV3eGF3Z0oyTE1pVlhUdzhmOTE5M3Q1cXZhYmRLVzkzZEJzS1c5dkR0LWh5WjNBd3U0SUtXS2doaEFMbDQ4UWJ0aXRlTFhZRUowdjhRLUkwVnctRW40cndHRElGeWdmUmlHUnpQR3VLWHZSellwTWNHQy13dQ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["ukraine","ukrainian"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"},{"title":"Norway seizes a Russian vessel in remote Arctic, drawing Putin’s ire - AP News","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxNaXVXMzB6QmVGd3lKN09Hc0ZPR0NlRmppSXZCaVc4Q2owdGRLY1JtWFRXSWtHbUlLYkE2UVlPMW5nbnB0MWIwUUhFdWNQZ0o2X2Zqc1JoNDNHOUlWUVVMY01xUDN3SEx6TlFycGU5eEczTHNNM2xnZUJPVXVhRE45UzBKd0Q4WVhhZlFmVktGNGxiNlIyd09ZSHI3YnIyRkdqWG1pX0tmMWNzQzg0N1Fxb2NpRUxrUQ?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["putin"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":1146,"outlets":173,"activeDays":60,"firstSeen":"1993-12-16","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-04","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["europe_politics"],"asserts":{"military-action":119,"utterance":107,"meeting-visit":66,"disaster":44,"sanction-trade":37,"launch-release":14},"assertionCoverage":0.387,"movesWith":[{"name":"ukraine","together":496,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":2}},{"name":"european union","together":191,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":4}},{"name":"putin","together":179,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"],"verbs":{"meeting-visit":7}},{"name":"china","together":349,"verbs":{"meeting-visit":4}},{"name":"iran","together":319,"verbs":{"meeting-visit":2}},{"name":"germany","together":135,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"nato","together":135,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"united states","together":191}],"movesWithLabels":["ukraine","european union","putin","china","iran","germany","nato","united states"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":18,"reading":"Our coverage of Russia–Ukraine war is 18% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":116,"eventMentions":1108,"periods":[{"period":"2027-06","mentions":62},{"period":"2027-03","mentions":11},{"period":"2027","mentions":196},{"period":"2026-12","mentions":290},{"period":"2026-11","mentions":2},{"period":"2026-10","mentions":104},{"period":"2026-09","mentions":199},{"period":"2026","mentions":244}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"russia\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Russia–Ukraine war","slug":"russia-ukraine-war","questionCount":43,"questions":["Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?","Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?","Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?","Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?","Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?"],"mentions":1108,"firstSeen":"2026-05-24","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-09-03","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-04","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"russia\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Russia–Ukraine war\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: putin, trump, zelenskyy — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"none-recorded","note":"Measured zero: the ledger holds no coverage-state transition for \"russia\". We do not backfill history we did not record.","transitions":[]}}}