{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-democratic-party-swedish","title":"The Election: Democratic Party & Swedish record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"swedish","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"swedish\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Democratic Party & Swedish\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity.","candidatesConsidered":["democratic party","swedish"],"alsoDefensible":["democratic party"],"rejected":[],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-04","generatedAt":"2026-09-04T23:47:27.001318+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-democratic-party-swedish and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/election-democratic-party-swedish so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"swedish\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"observed","note":"Event-relevance filtered: 9 attributable rows sampled for \"swedish\", 1 served, 8 withheld as not shown to be about \"Election: Democratic Party & Swedish\". The served count is reduced on purpose and reported, never quietly smaller.","sampledForSubject":9,"served":1,"withheldNotEventRelevant":8,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election","democratic","party"],"questionSet":["social","seats","parliamentary"]},"items":[{"title":"Sweden's election tightens with 11 days to go, TV4 poll shows - Reuters","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxPVE5pdFBzWk9mU1FXaUZ0ZUtyTDFsY1VoM0RabjQ3NUhOMllHeENNOXdhUTJsT0pDWWRFSUwxT3JQODJIWDBYd3V3UUFvSDRSSWotWHpyTTBqdUwyd0NINl9MNTYzMm14bnpmR3JlTHFNX2otSGJfV2RMTElBLVVFY1dYSmhBb0IzcU43NDVvOUtPX2p1bGw0S05GUVVubnZVNV9Bei1ySm8?oc=5&hl=en-US&gl=US&ceid=US:en","date":null,"source":null,"eventTerms":["election"],"relevance":"subject-line-term","tier":"social/aggregator","kind":"reporting — attributed; verify at the source"}]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":249,"outlets":106,"activeDays":33,"firstSeen":"2026-03-11","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-04","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["europe_politics"],"asserts":{"acquisition":10,"launch-release":8,"utterance":7,"meeting-visit":6,"election":5,"military-action":5},"assertionCoverage":0.217,"movesWith":[{"name":"germany","together":77,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"finland","together":59,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"france","together":57,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"norway","together":56,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"european union","together":54,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"netherlands","together":48,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"spanish","together":46,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]},{"name":"russia","together":45,"sharedDomains":["europe_politics"]}],"movesWithLabels":["germany","finland","france","norway","european union","netherlands","spanish","russia"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"rising","baselineRelativePct":61,"reading":"Our coverage of Election: Democratic Party & Swedish is 61% above its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":6,"eventMentions":78,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":78}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"observed","rowsNote":null,"current":[{"question":"Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-4th-place-20260812164320100","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":16,"change24hPct":-26.5,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-15","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-swedish-government","source":"Polymarket (us-politics)","probabilityPct":20,"change24hPct":-45.5,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-21","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Democratic Party & Swedish","slug":"election-democratic-party-swedish","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?"],"mentions":78,"firstSeen":"2026-07-17","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-15","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-04","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"swedish\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Democratic Party & Swedish\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"new","to":"steady","at":"2026-08-31T15:05:22.273998+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-30T15:08:25.442508+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-01T15:11:18.454578+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-31T15:05:22.273998+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-01T15:11:18.454578+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-31T15:05:22.273998+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"rising","at":"2026-09-03T15:09:53.143842+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-01T15:11:18.454578+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-03T15:09:53.143842+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-01T15:11:18.454578+00:00"}]}}}