{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-democratic-party-mexico","title":"The Election: Democratic Party & Mexico record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"mexico","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"mexico\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Democratic Party & Mexico\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: senate — the registry attaches it to this event, but the subject line does not name it.","candidatesConsidered":["democratic party","mexico","senate"],"alsoDefensible":["democratic party"],"rejected":["senate"],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-04","generatedAt":"2026-09-04T23:47:27.001318+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-democratic-party-mexico and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/election-democratic-party-mexico so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"mexico\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"none-event-relevant","note":"Measured zero after event-relevance filtering: we sampled 11 attributable rows for \"mexico\" and not one could be shown to be about \"Election: Democratic Party & Mexico\" — each carried the subject's name and nothing else this record is about. They are withheld rather than served: a subject's general coverage is not this event's reporting, and serving it under this record's label would be worse than serving nothing. That is a count, not a gap.","sampledForSubject":11,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":11,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election","democratic","party"],"questionSet":["candidate","senate","gubernatorial"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":441,"outlets":163,"activeDays":53,"firstSeen":"2024-09-26","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-03","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":[],"asserts":{"disaster":46,"sanction-trade":20,"utterance":11,"launch-release":9,"military-action":6,"legal-ruling":6},"assertionCoverage":0.27,"movesWith":[{"name":"immigration","together":112},{"name":"canadian","together":105},{"name":"united states","together":95},{"name":"texas","together":78},{"name":"trump","together":70},{"name":"ai","together":62},{"name":"tariffs","together":54},{"name":"north america","together":48}],"movesWithLabels":["immigration","canadian","united states","texas","trump","ai","tariffs","north america"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"steady","baselineRelativePct":-13,"reading":"Our coverage of Election: Democratic Party & Mexico is 13% below its 3-week baseline. This measures our attention — how much our tracked set is writing about it — not the event itself.","trackedDays":6,"eventMentions":84,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":84}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"none-captured","rowsNote":"Measured zero: no priced capture rides \"mexico\" in this build.","current":[],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Democratic Party & Mexico","slug":"election-democratic-party-mexico","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 0%-3%?","Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?","Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?"],"mentions":84,"firstSeen":"2026-08-07","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-11","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-04","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"mexico\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Democratic Party & Mexico\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: senate — the registry attaches it to this event, but the subject line does not name it. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"fading","to":"steady","at":"2026-09-01T15:11:18.454578+00:00","heldSince":"2026-08-31T15:05:22.273998+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"steady","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-02T15:12:31.676793+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-01T15:11:18.454578+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-02T15:12:31.676793+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-01T15:11:18.454578+00:00"},{"field":"coverage state","from":"insufficient_history","to":"steady","at":"2026-09-04T15:11:35.460717+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-02T15:12:31.676793+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"watch","to":"flagged","at":"2026-09-04T15:11:35.460717+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-02T15:12:31.676793+00:00"}]}}}