{"schema":"sb.truth.v1","subject":"election-darline-graham-republican","title":"The Election: Darline Graham & Republican record","tier":"standard","tierNote":"Standard-tier record, generated from the maintained event registry: reporting, our coverage metric, market expectation, and state history. No primary-source layer yet — first-party issuer verification is what upgrades a record to full tier, the discipline the hormuz record demonstrates.","subjectBinding":{"entity":"republican","bound":true,"basis":"named-in-subject","statement":"Lead subject \"republican\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Darline Graham & Republican\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: senate, south carolina — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them.","candidatesConsidered":["darline graham","republican","senate","south carolina"],"alsoDefensible":["darline graham"],"rejected":["senate","south carolina"],"actionClass":"election"},"publishState":"published","publishStateNote":null,"asOf":"2026-09-04","generatedAt":"2026-09-04T23:47:27.001318+00:00","tracked":true,"access":"Free — no key, no charge. Serves at GET /api/truth/election-darline-graham-republican and answers the get_truth_object MCP tool. (No exhibit page for standard-tier records yet — the API and MCP responses ARE the record.)","attribution":"Cite 'Signal Bureau' with https://sigb.ai/api/truth/election-darline-graham-republican so readers can verify.","layers":{"primarySources":{"label":"Observed operational state","status":"absent","basis":"not present on a standard-tier record — no first-party issuer has been routed for this subject yet; nothing here is previewed to look finished","sources":[]},"reporting":{"label":"Observed reporting","basis":"attributed sources — outside coverage in our tracked set; verify at the source. Prediction-market question pages are excluded: a venue question is not journalism, whoever hosts it. Filtered for EVENT relevance, not just subject: a row is served only if it names \"republican\" AND carries a term from this record's own subject line, or two terms from its market-question set. The subject's name alone is the key its corpus was sampled on, so it proves nothing about this event — each served row names the terms it matched in eventTerms.","status":"none-event-relevant","note":"Measured zero after event-relevance filtering: we sampled 5 attributable rows for \"republican\" and not one could be shown to be about \"Election: Darline Graham & Republican\" — each carried the subject's name and nothing else this record is about. They are withheld rather than served: a subject's general coverage is not this event's reporting, and serving it under this record's label would be worse than serving nothing. That is a count, not a gap.","sampledForSubject":5,"served":0,"withheldNotEventRelevant":5,"relevanceTerms":{"subjectLine":["election","darline","graham"],"questionSet":["nordone","first","round","south","carolina","senate","special","primary","least","votes","runoff"]},"items":[]},"record":{"label":"The record itself","basis":"our own count of documents we ingested and can name — not a claim about the world, and market questions are excluded because a question is not reporting","documents":351,"outlets":92,"activeDays":41,"firstSeen":"2026-04-20","firstSeenStatus":"observed","firstSeenNote":null,"lastSeen":"2026-09-04","lastSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeenNote":null,"homeDomains":["az_state"],"asserts":{"election":41,"utterance":22,"legal-ruling":14,"sanction-trade":12,"military-action":12,"regulatory-approval":5},"assertionCoverage":0.37,"movesWith":[{"name":"republicans","together":172,"sharedDomains":["az_state"],"verbs":{"sanction-trade":2}},{"name":"trump","together":205,"verbs":{"sanction-trade":3}},{"name":"senate","together":139},{"name":"congress","together":136},{"name":"democrat","together":129},{"name":"president donald trump","together":128},{"name":"arizona","together":48,"sharedDomains":["az_state"]},{"name":"democrats","together":99}],"movesWithLabels":["republicans","trump","senate","congress","democrat","president donald trump","arizona","democrats"],"provenance":"curated"},"coverageMetric":{"label":"Coverage state","basis":"our own measurement — our attention, not the event's state","direction":"insufficient_history","baselineRelativePct":null,"reading":"History still too thin for a baseline; day-over-day read.","trackedDays":null,"eventMentions":46,"periods":[{"period":"2026","mentions":46}]},"market":{"label":"Market expectation","basis":"attributed — markets price collective belief about defined outcomes; belief, not fact, and never proof that an event occurred","rowsStatus":"observed","rowsNote":null,"current":[{"question":"Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-republican-senate-special-primary-winner-20260712135206676","source":"Polymarket (us-politics)","probabilityPct":49,"change24hPct":-11.4,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-06","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"},{"question":"Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/james-fishback-vote-share-in-2026-florida-republican-governor-primary-20260701214154078","source":"Polymarket (ai-tech)","probabilityPct":46,"change24hPct":8,"pricedAt":null,"capturedAt":"2026-08-17","deadline":null,"deadlinePassed":false,"reading":"belief, not fact"}],"arc":[],"eventArc":{"name":"Election: Darline Graham & Republican","slug":"election-darline-graham-republican","questionCount":12,"questions":["Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by at least 20%?","Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary by 15–20%?","Will Darline Graham win at least 30% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?"],"mentions":46,"firstSeen":"2026-07-23","firstSeenStatus":"observed","lastSeen":"2026-08-25","lastSeenStatus":"observed","stampNote":null}},"judgment":{"label":"Our reading","basis":"derived judgment — our reading over the layers above; ours, and labeled ours","asOf":"2026-09-04","text":"A standard-tier record keeps its layers apart and does not collapse them. Lead subject \"republican\" — named in this record's own subject line (\"Election: Darline Graham & Republican\"). The reporting, record, market and state-history layers below are that subject's own; none is borrowed from a neighbouring entity. Not bound: senate, south carolina — the registry attaches them to this event, but the subject line does not name them. Our coverage metric measures our attention; the reporting is attributed, not verified against first-party issuers; the market layer prices belief, not fact. Reading any single layer as \"the answer\" is how a machine gets this wrong — and this record's honest limit is stated in its tier: no primary-source layer exists here yet."},"consensus":{"label":"Reporting consensus","basis":"retroactive claims ledger — kernel facts scored by independent-chain agreement","pending":true,"note":"No claims ledger has been computed for this subject yet — consensus scoring is full-tier machinery.","retired":[]},"stateHistory":{"label":"State history","basis":"recorded transitions — never edited after the fact","status":"recorded","note":null,"transitions":[{"field":"coverage state","from":"rising","to":"insufficient_history","at":"2026-09-04T15:11:35.460717+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-02T15:12:31.676793+00:00"},{"field":"wire tier","from":"flagged","to":"watch","at":"2026-09-04T15:11:35.460717+00:00","heldSince":"2026-09-02T15:12:31.676793+00:00"}]}}}